Ohio Abortion Trends

The Dayton Daily News (DDN) published an article discussing the trend of abortions in Ohio. The linked article does not have the same headlines nor include the table from the print version, so I took a picture of it and put it here. Crucially the subheading says:

Numbers buck 10-year trend showing fewer procedures in the state.

headline_resize

The numbers presented don’t show the full 10 year trend referenced in the article. The numbers in the DDN article actually came from this Ohio Department of Health Report,
which includes more detailed information over a longer period of time. So I plotted back
to 2006. There is clearly a dip and rise again from 2010-2012. The size of this exceeds the 2017 rise substantially, making one wonder what trend the author of the DDN article sees that is being bucked. In addition to totals, the report also breaks out numbers for Ohio residents which I also included.

total

What was also missing in particular from the DDN article was any discussion of the size of Ohio’s overall poplulation relative to the report abortion numbers. For example, the report increase might actually be a decrease if the change in population size is accounted for. I obtained numbers from US census and computed totals per 100,000 people.

total_per_100k

Plotted this way, it appears the Total number increase from 2016 to 2107 is only 0.3%, not the 1% mentioned in the article. Looking at just the Ohio resident numbers, the result is even less exciting, showing almost no change.

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